Stablecoin Market Intelligence
· Updated daily at 15:20 UTC
Institutional-grade analytics covering 432 daily snapshots since Apr 2025. Indicators span four chapters: market structure (cap, dominance, concentration, velocity), macro transmission (SOFR, real rates, yield curve, Fed liquidity, inflation, risk sentiment), DeFi carry (Aave/Compound yields vs T-bills, multi-pool comparison), and dollarization regimes (DXY, gold, EM stress, EUR stablecoins). Together they form a coherent framework for assessing stablecoin markets across cyclical and structural lenses — the same approach used by central bankers, treasury teams, and institutional risk desks.
Most used by
Central banks & multilaterals
IMF, BIS, ECB, Fed staff — financial stability monitoring; cross-border dollarization tracking
Enterprise treasury
CFOs, treasurers — T-bill vs DeFi allocation decisions; FX hedging via stablecoins
DeFi risk teams
Protocol risk officers — depeg signals, redemption pressure, concentration monitoring
Regulators & policy analysts
Treasury, ESMA, FSB analysts — systemic-risk indicators, MiCA compliance context, issuer landscape
Total Market Cap
$305.9B
as of Jun 2026
USDT Dominance
61.0%
+1.1pp vs 90D
USDC Dominance
24.5%
-1.4pp vs 90D
90D Market Growth
-0.6%
-1.9B added
Market Data
Market Cap
Total Stablecoin Market Cap
Total USD value of all stablecoins tracked, Apr 2025 – present.
Dominance
USDT vs USDC Dominance
USDT and USDC percentage share of total stablecoin market cap over time.
Indicators
Indicator
Market Concentration (HHI)
Herfindahl-Hirschman Index across all tracked stablecoins. DOJ threshold: >2,500 is highly concentrated.
4334
Highly Concentrated
Indicator
Velocity Index
Aggregate monetary velocity (V = Volume ÷ Market Cap), 7-day rolling average. MV=PQ framework.
0.121
General Use
Indicator
Peg Stability
Rolling 30-day peg stability score per stablecoin, based on mean absolute deviation from $1.00 and depeg event count (>0.5% threshold).
98
Stable Market
Indicator
Supply Shock Index
SSI = rolling 30-day % change in total stablecoin market cap. Above 6% signals a supply shock; below 0 = net redemption.
-0.003
Net Redemption
Indicator
Redemption Pressure
Per-coin 7D / 30D / 90D market cap flow analysis. Traffic-light table across coins ≥$500M. Net 30D aggregate flow.
-6.2B
Net Outflow · 30D
Indicator
Market Correlation
30-day Pearson correlation of daily market cap % changes between USDT and USDC. High = macro-driven. Low = issuer-specific dynamics.
0.08
Diverging · USDT ↔ USDC
Indicator
Liquidity Depth Score
L = Volume ÷ √Market Cap. Normalizes liquidity by size — isolates genuine market depth from supply scale. Critical for institutional execution decisions.
2.11
Adequate · Aggregate
Indicator
Market Beta
Rolling 90-day OLS β per coin vs total market. β > 1 = amplifies market moves. β < 1 = defensive or counter-cyclical.
1.03
Market-like · USDC 90D β
Indicator
Granger Causality
Rolling 60-day Granger F-test: does USDT lead or lag USDC in market cap changes? F > 3.84 = significant. Reveals monetary leadership between the two largest issuers.
0.01
Neither (p > 0.05)
Indicator
PCA — Market Factor Analysis
Jacobi eigendecomposition of the stablecoin returns covariance matrix. PC1 captures the dominant market-wide factor. PC2 reveals structural differentiation between coin types.
92.1%
PC1 · USD1 leads
Indicator
Behavioral Clustering
K-means on velocity, growth rate, volatility and beta — all size-normalised. Groups stablecoins by how they behave, not how large they are. Elbow-selected k.
2 clusters
Declining / Contracting
Indicator
Adoption Curve
Logistic S-curve fit to each coin's market cap history. Reveals each stablecoin's position in its adoption lifecycle: Early Growth, Acceleration, Maturity, or Saturation.
USDT · 97%
1 in growth
Indicator
Cross-Chain Entropy
Shannon entropy of stablecoin supply distribution across 150+ blockchains. Tracks whether settlement is concentrating or fragmenting over time.
2.24 bits
Highly Concentrated · Ethereum 50.7%