Bank Deposit Rates vs DeFi Yields
· Updated monthly
As of June 2026, DeFi yields are 8× higher than the average US bank savings rate. Aave V3 USDC pays 3.14%; the FDIC national savings rate is 0.38%. The +276 bps gap is the underlying signal Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan publicly warned about in June 2026 when he said stablecoin yields could drain up to 35% of US bank deposits. The aggregate US banking system's actual implied cost of funds, computed from FDIC quarterly Call Reports, is 2.27%, roughly 6× the rate the average US bank pays its retail savers. The Federal Reserve pays banks 3.65% on reserve balances. Data: FDIC National Rates archive, FDIC BankFind Call Reports, FRED IORB & TB3MS, DefiLlama Aave V3. Monthly axis from April 2021.
The average US savings account pays 0.38% in June 2026. DeFi lending on Aave V3 pays 3.14%, about 8× more. The US banking system as a whole pays a blended 2.27% on deposits, meaning even banks themselves pay roughly 6× the consumer savings rate to their wholesale, brokered, and CD depositors. The Federal Reserve pays banks 3.65% on reserves, leaving a +1.38% risk-free intermediation margin that the banking system captures and that stablecoin issuers structurally compete for.
Where a US Dollar Can Earn Yield, by Month
Five comparable lanes for parking a US dollar, plotted on a single monthly axis from April 2021 onward. Bank Savings (green) is the FDIC national average consumer savings rate. What Banks Actually Pay (purple, stepped) is the implied cost of funds for the entire US banking system, computed from quarterly Call Reports, higher than the consumer savings rate because it includes CDs, brokered deposits, and money-market balances. Aave V3 USDC (blue) is the leading DeFi lending yield, monthly median to suppress single-day spikes. 3-Month T-Bill (orange dashed) and IORB (red dashed) are the risk-free benchmarks. Coloured bands mark each Fed policy regime; the orange marker tags BofA's June 2026 warning. Click any legend item to hide a series.
What this page does not show
The yield gap is documented. The deposit-flight thesis, that the gap will cause material migration from banks to stablecoins, is not. The chart is a description of the incentive landscape, not a forecast. Several risks the bank-vs-DeFi comparison cannot capture:
- FDIC insurance. US bank deposits up to $250,000 are insured against bank failure. Stablecoin deposits are not. The bank yield is a lower-but-insured number; the DeFi yield is a higher-but-uninsured number, different risk surfaces, not different points on the same risk curve.
- Stablecoin depeg risk. USDC briefly traded at $0.88 during the SVB failure in March 2023. The chart assumes the stablecoin holds its dollar peg; a 5% depeg wipes out a year of yield advantage.
- Smart-contract risk. Aave V3 has a multi-year audit history and a battle-tested liquidation engine, but the Kelp DAO / Aave bad-debt incident in 2025 shows tail risks are real.
- Tax treatment. Bank interest is straightforward income. DeFi yield can trigger crypto-tax reporting complexity that meaningfully reduces the net-of-tax yield, especially for non-US savers.
A reasonable framing: the gap is real and large, but it sets the incentive, the migration depends on consumer awareness, on-ramp friction, regulatory clarity, and individual risk tolerance. None of those are on the chart.
The four boxes below frame what each major Fed-policy period did to the gap. The bank deposit rate adjusts slowly, banks raise it deliberately and reluctantly because every basis point raises the cost of $19 trillion in liabilities. DeFi yield adjusts continuously through pool utilization. The gap between the two has historically been large during low-rate eras (when DeFi yield from crypto demand exceeds zero T-bill rates by a wide margin) and at the start of cutting cycles (when T-bill yields drop fast but bank savings rates drop even faster).
With Fed funds at the lower bound, T-bill yields were near zero and US bank savings rates followed. Aave USDC paid 3–5% from organic borrow demand, a gap of roughly 5 percentage points. The yield asymmetry helped power the $5B → $180B expansion of stablecoin supply through 2021.
For consumers: The economic incentive to migrate deposits to on-chain dollar yield was already structural in 2021, long before the press attention. The reason mass migration did not occur was friction and trust, not yield math.
The Fed raised rates from 0 to 5.25% in 14 months. T-bill yields followed mechanically; FDIC savings rates barely moved (still 0.30% by end-2022). Aave USDC declined as crypto activity contracted. For the first time in years, the FDIC savings rate vs Aave gap narrowed in absolute terms, while T-bills became the obvious winner over both.
For institutional treasury teams: Hike cycles compress the DeFi-vs-savings gap but expand the T-bill-vs-savings gap. Both signal capital outflow from bank deposits.
IORB at 5.4% while implied bank cost of funds was roughly 2.5–3%. Banks earned a wide spread on every dollar parked at the Fed, the "Fed-funded bank profit" that politicians and bank CEOs began to debate publicly. Stablecoin yields recovered from their 2022 lows; the deposit-vs-DeFi gap re-widened as crypto demand returned.
For policy analysts: The 2024 bank spread is the political backdrop to stablecoin legislation. The implied cost of funds underperformed IORB by 2+ percentage points, a transfer that stablecoin reserves capture for issuers rather than holders.
Fed cuts pulled T-bill rates down faster than bank deposit rates, which barely budged. Aave USDC held in the 4–6% range. The FDIC-vs-Aave gap remains in the 4–5 point range. By June 2026 the gap was +2.76%, the headline backdrop to Bank of America's June 2026 deposit-flight warning.
For consumers: Cutting cycles are when the gap is most visible because T-bills no longer dominate the comparison. For bank executives: The lag between deposit-rate adjustment and DeFi-yield adjustment is the structural risk in the deposit-flight thesis.
FDIC consumer deposit rates: Monthly national-average rates for Savings, Interest Checking, Money Market, and CDs (1–60 months), published by the FDIC on the 3rd Monday of each month at fdic.gov/resources/bankers/national-rates. We chart Savings as the consumer baseline. Backfilled from the FDIC Excel archive (April 2021 onward).
National Rate Cap (mentioned but not charted): Each month the FDIC also publishes a regulatory ceiling, the higher of (national average + 75 bps) or (relevant Treasury yield + 75 bps). Banks classified as less-than-well-capitalized cannot legally pay above the cap. Well-capitalized banks are not bound by it, but in practice almost no large bank pays close to the cap.
US banking system implied cost of funds: Computed from FDIC BankFind quarterly Call Report aggregates. For each quarter end we sum the EINTEXP (interest expense, in thousands USD) and DEP (total deposits) across all 4,600+ FDIC-insured banks. EINTEXP is reported year-to-date so we differentiate it within each fiscal year (Q1 fresh, Q2 = YTD-Q1, Q3 = YTD-Q2, Q4 = YTD-Q3), annualize the per-quarter figure (× 4), and divide by total deposits. The result is the blended weighted-average interest rate the US banking system paid on all deposit liabilities. Quarterly data forward-filled to the monthly axis. Source: api.fdic.gov/banks/financials.
3-Month T-Bill (TB3MS): Secondary market 3-month US Treasury bill rate from FRED, monthly observation. Downsampled to month-end value.
IORB: Interest on Reserve Balances paid by the Federal Reserve to banks on reserves held at the Fed, FRED series. Daily, downsampled to month-end.
Aave V3 USDC: Base supply APY on Aave V3 (Ethereum mainnet), source DefiLlama Yields API, daily observation. Downsampled to the calendar-month median to suppress single-day liquidity spikes that do not reflect what a saver would actually earn over a full month, a single 3-day spike to 12% does not change a median, but would double an arithmetic mean.
Fed regime bands: Coloured background bands reflect the FOMC's policy stance, zero-rate (Mar 2020 → Mar 2022), hike cycle (Mar 2022 → Sep 2023), high-rate pause (Sep 2023 → Sep 2024), and cutting cycle (Sep 2024 → present). Set to documented FOMC meeting dates, not interpolated.
BofA event annotation: The orange marker at June 2026 corresponds to Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan's public statement that stablecoin yields could drain up to 35% of US bank deposits, the news event that elevated this chart from a structural curiosity to an industry talking point.
Why monthly? FDIC publishes monthly. The Call Report aggregates are quarterly. Forcing all series to a daily axis would either repeat monthly values 30× (visually misleading) or extrapolate values that do not exist. A monthly axis is the most honest cadence at which all five series are jointly meaningful.
Update cadence: Monthly, on the Tuesday after FDIC publishes (3rd Monday of each month + 1 business day). The BankFind Call Report aggregates revise as banks file (a 60–75 day filing window), so the most recent quarter is provisional for the first 2 months after quarter-end.