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Run Risk

Stablecoin-specific · Governance, Regulation & Risk · Reserves, Collateral & Redemption · Last reviewed: September 2026

Run risk is the risk that many stablecoin holders seek to redeem or sell at the same time because they fear that waiting could leave them with a lower-value or less-liquid claim.

Explanation

Stablecoin runs can involve direct redemption with an issuer, sales in secondary markets, or both. Expectations can become self-reinforcing when holders believe reserves may be insufficient, illiquid, or costly to liquidate. Large redemptions can force asset sales, increase price pressure, and weaken confidence further. The structure resembles run dynamics in other short-term money-like liabilities, although stablecoin redemption and market arrangements differ from bank deposits and money market funds.

Boundaries

Run risk concerns coordinated exit behavior. Liquidity risk concerns the ability of the issuer, market, or reserve portfolio to meet those flows at acceptable cost and speed.

Why it matters

Run dynamics can turn an information shock into rapid redemption pressure and secondary-market discounts.

Example

News questioning reserve quality can cause holders to redeem or sell before others if they expect the stablecoin's convertibility to weaken.

Related terms

Sources

  1. Rashad Ahmed, Iñaki Aldasoro, and Chanelle Duley. Public Information and Stablecoin Runs. Bank for International Settlements, BIS Working Papers No. 1164, 2024. Institutional research (authors' views)
  2. Stablecoins, Money Market Funds and Monetary Policy. Bank for International Settlements, BIS Working Papers No. 1219, 2024. Institutional research (authors' views)
  3. Tobias Adrian et al.. Understanding Stablecoins. International Monetary Fund, Departmental Paper No. 2025/009, 2025. doi:10.5089/9798229024075.087 Institutional analysis
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